Dynasty Fantasy Football: Rookie Top 40 Rankings

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It’s dynasty time!

A couple of thoughts about my Top 40 before you dive in:

  • With the recent comments by Todd Haley saying that Le’Veon Bell is “…not a guy that you’d shy away from giving it to him 30 times a game,” he’s moving into my #1 spot. This is a perfect intersection of talent and situation. To all those shouting out Bell as the next Daniel Thomas or Shonn Greene: I could not disagree more.
  • I honestly don’t know what to make of the Eddie Lacy/Johnathan Franklin situation in Green Bay. So far, the idea is that Lacy is the 2 down thumper and Franklin is the 3rd down receiving/change of pace back. I don’t think Franklin really fits that receiving back mold, so I ranked him low because of the risk factor. Lacy will probably be the goal line back, but this seems like a quasi-Carolina Panthers situation brewing in Wisconsin. On one hand, Lacy could get the lion’s share of yards and touchdowns, but there is a chance his injury problems catch up with him and that Franklin runs away with the job. I just don’t know.
  • Zac Stacy is the best running back on the Rams roster, and it isn’t close. I have no problems taking him in the 1st round.
  • Ranking Marcus Lattimore at 26 means I won’t own him on any of my teams. I think people taking him in the 1st round are wasting their pick; athletes “return to previous levels of function” at a rate of 20-30% according to Scott Peak. Even if he does recover and regains his talent, I don’t think he’s better than Kendall Hunter. I’m rooting for him, but it’s very unlikely you’ll see decent returns on the pick.
  • In what world is Latavius Murray not a 2nd round pick? He’s a bigger Darren McFadden, standing at 6’3″, 223, with similar speed, agility, and explosion measurements. McFadden has been consistently injured since he entered the NFL, and is a free agent in 2014. You could be looking at the future starting running back for the Oakland Raiders, and the most you have to spend is a 2nd round pick! I’m making a point to grab all the young running backs who I think can start in 1-2 years, and Murray is a guy I’m adding to that list.
  • I’m bullish on Quinton Patton. The 49ers don’t pass a lot, and I’m not sure he’s better than incumbent A.J. Jenkins. Boldin and Crabtree could potentially be gone by 2015, but you can let someone else draft him then buy low in a year or two.
  • Christine Michael will be on all of my teams this year. He’s in a bad short term situation, similar to the one C.J. Spiller was drafted into, but the Seahawks can cut Marshawn Lynch for little penalty and save themselves some cap space. Perhaps they know something we don’t about his back or are preparing for some sort of punishment stemming from his pending DUI trial. Combine Michael’s talent with Seattle 264 rushing attempts per game and you have fantasy success.
  • Aaron Mellette, the Baltimore Ravens 7th round wide receiver, is a guy I’d be snatching in the 3rd round. The Ravens have a hole opposite Torrey Smith, and I’m not sure Tandon Doss, Tommy Streeter, or Jacoby Jones are the answer. Mellette reminds of Marques Colston in a lot of ways, in playing style and draft position. He could get playing time sooner than people think.

If you any questions or comment, hit me up on twitter. I’m always open to discussing the thought process behind my ideas.

Rank Player TM POS
1 Le’Veon Bell PIT RB
2 Tavon Austin STL WR
3 DeAndre Hopkins HOU WR
4 Giovani Bernard CIN RB
5 Eddie Lacy GBP RB
6 Cordarrelle Patterson MIN WR
7 Keenan Allen SDC WR
8 Zac Stacy STL RB
9 Montee Ball DEN RB
10 Tyler Eifert CIN TE
11 Johnathan Franklin GBP RB
12 Justin Hunter TEN WR
13 Markus Wheaton PIT WR
14 Stedman Bailey STL WR
15 Terrance Williams DAL WR
16 Geno Smith NYJ QB
17 Christine Michael SEA RB
18 Latavius Murray OAK RB
19 Quinton Patton SF WR
20 Zach Ertz PHI TE
21 Robert Woods BUF WR
22 E.J. Manuel BUF QB
23 Ryan Swope ARZ WR
24 Da’Rick Rodgers BUF WR
25 Aaron Dobson NEP WR
26 Marcus Lattimore SF RB
27 Travis Kelce KCC TE
28 Mike Gillislee MIA RB
29 Aaron Mellette BAL WR
30 Charles Johnson GBP WR
31 Josh Boyce NEP WR
32 Knile Davis KC RB
33 Chris Thompson WAS RB
34 Marcus Davis NYG WR
35 Gavin Escobar DAL TE
36 Mark Harrison CHI WR
37 Ryan Griffin NOS QB
38 Joseph Randle DAL RB
39 Chris Harper SEA WR
40 Ray Graham HOU RB

About Coleman Kelly

21 year old Network Administration major from Central Connecticut. Football fanatic and New England Patriots fan. Lover of cats.

2013 NFL Draft Grades: AFC Edition

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Now that the draft is over and our dreams are either dashed or filled with blind hope we can start to process how the choices made over the weekend look all put together. The grades that these teams get are not based on anything other than how they worked the draft ion terms of the value given to the player to where they got them. This doesn’t mean that classes with low grades can’t be good; it simply shows how they fared in terms of draft day value.

Arthur Brown leads the draft board in value.

 

AFC North:

Balitmore Ravens: B

Baltimore is coming off an impressive Supbowl run, and it’s clear the direction the offense is taking with Mr. 120 Million. That being said, they lost almost everything on defense. It was clear what Ozzie Newsome wanted to do with his draft and he a got lucky when Ed Reed’s replacement Matt Elam was there at 32. Newsome then picked up Ray Lewis’s replacement in first-round talent Arthur Brown at 56. Getting John Simon, who Urban Meyer called one of his favorite players of all time, and a gritty undersized pass rusher in the fourth just solidifies the next few years for the Ravens. Kapron Leiws-Moore needs a red-shirt year after blowing out a knee in the national title game, but if he had come out healthy would have likely been late second, early third round selection. If he gets healthy he could be a starter for a long time. Watch out for undrafted free agent wr/qb Trent Steelman, who I think has Julian Edlelman written all over him.

 

Cincinnati Bengals: B+

The Bengals absolutely killed the first few rounds. Getting Tyler Eifert at 21 could be the steal of the draft. Lord knows what Jay Gruden will dream up for Andy Dalton with Eifert, Green, and Gresham in the passing game. It’s clear that Dalton has no more excuses.  Gio Bernard was my favorite back in the draft; his versatility will allow him to make plays out of any place on the field, including the return game. Margus Hunt has talent beyond talent, and letting him learn from Carlos Dunlap, Michael Johnson, and Geno Atkins will prove very helpful. Later on they got Rex Burkhead who should be a fine special teams player and could force himself into  3rd down duty with his blocking talent and hands. Reid Fragel is a great developmental tackle, having played tight end until last season at Ohio State. I also love the undrafted free agents signings of Larry Balck Jr. and Onterio McCalebb; Black is a hardnosed defensive tackle that plays hard every down while McCalebb has blazing speed and could be another good return man for the Bengals.

 Cleveland Browns: C+

The Browns didn’t make enough moves to give a damning grade, but they could have made some moves to make bigger splashes. Barkevious Mingo is an incredible talent who needs some work, but if he can find some more pass rush moves and add strength he could be an impact player very early. Leon McFadden has great upside as well, and he gets to learn from one of the best, Joe Hayden. Garrett Gilkey in the seventh round could be a steal as he is a big nasty guy who played outside tackle at Chadron but projects at guard in the NFL. Travis Tannahill should have been drafted, he doesn’t have great movement skills, but he can block and catch with surprising athleticism.

Pittsburg Steelers: C+

The Steelers were much worse than fan expectation in 2012. They couldn’t run, they couldn’t pass when Big Ben was hurt, and they couldn’t slow down opponents when it mattered. They needed to get younger badly, and they did that in typical Steeler fashion with smart picks that fit their system. Jarvis Jones, who was a top five pick based solely on his outstanding SEC tape, fell to them at 17 and they jumped all over him. They can plug him in and count on good pass rush for the next ten years. That’s why they felt comfortable letting Thug Harrison go. Le’veon Bell was over drafted by conventional terms, but when you look at what the Steelers were ready to go to camp with at running back, it’s clear why they took a guy that looks like a Steeler. Some may have hated the Landry Jones pick but he can sit the next few years behind Big Ben and maybe see some spot duty when Ben gets hurt.

 

AFC South:

 Indianapolis Colts: C+

GM Ryan Grigson and head coach Chuck Pagano have made it clear what kinds of players they want: tough hard workers who have great locker room personalities with proven production. They got the German War Machine Bojern Warner at 24 which may end up being a steal. His ceiling comparison is Jarred Allen, and even if he’s only pretty good, he will give 200% effort and should be the stabilizing force on an evolving defense. Kahlid Holmes started 40 games at USC going back to the Pete Carroll years; he showed gritty play before some late injuries seemed to slow him down. I loved getting John Boyett late. He isn’t the biggest, fastest, or strongest safety on the block, but he is a smart productive player who was the leader of the Oregon defense for the past three years. UDFA Emmett Cleary started almost every game of his career at Boston College; he may prove to be a solid swing tackle in time.

 Houston Texas: A

Rejoice Andre Johnson! The Texas have finally heard your pleas. With their 1st pick, they drafted Clemson’s DeAndre Hopkins who is a fluid athlete and may not have incredible long speed has amazing ball skills. He is still learning the game and has a Roddy White-like ceiling; as long as he gets covered at all he will be doing his job in getting men off Andre Johnson. D.J. Swearinger is a feisty safety who now gets to learn from the greatest of all time in Ed Reed; he is SEC battle tested and was a surprise to last as long as he did. The steal of the class may be Sam Montgomery. Montgomery was a headache for LSU coaches last year and was publicly denounced by a few of them. If the Texans can get him to care at all about football, they got a first round talent in the fourth. The Texans went heavy on UDFA’s and picked up a few that should be good players for them, I don’t know why the hype wasn’t behind Cierre Woods; he has tremendous talent and could be an everyday contributor this year. Syracuse wide receiver Alec Lemon should have been drafted and run great routes after being coached by an NFL guy in college. Zach Boren has versatility being able to play FB, he can catch out of the backfield, he can also play spot duty inside linebacker in the 3-4, and should be a special team’s leader for years. They also signed Hesiman candidate Colin Klein, although it’s unclear what they hope to accomplish.

Jacksonville Jaguars: B-

The Jags were really good really quick when they arrived in 1995, and a lot of that had to do with nobody being able to touch Mark Brunell on account of Tony Boselli. Luke Joeckel can be that for this team. Getting Jonathan Cyprien with the first pick in the second was incredible as he can be the enforcer that the Jags have lacked in recent years. I love Ace Sanders in the fourth because he has real potential to develop as a slot receiver. For all the hype around Tavon Austin, Sanders has similar open field ability. Denard Robinson should play all over for this team the next few years. They brought in both Matt Scott and Jordan Rodgers, who will both get a chance to compete for the quarterback position. Watch out for fellow undrafted guy Kyler Reed from Nebraska; he just has a knack for being in the right place at the right time, plus he made plays with Taylor Martinez as his quarterback.

Tennese Titans: C+

Was it really that long ago that the Titans hasd a dominating offensive line, a 2,000 yard rusher, and a scrappy defense? It feels like ages ago now, but you get the feeling the front office wants to get it back. They took the first top ten guard in almost twenty years with John Cooper from North Carolina; he has elite athleticism for an interior guy. In fact, his biggest issue last year was keeping his weight on. Combine him with fourth rounder Brian Schwenke from Cal, who could start immediately and be good, and free agent guard Andy Levitrie, and the Titans may get CJ2K back. Netting the rail-thin ultra-explosive Justin Hunter early in the second means that Jake Locker has no more excuses this year. Second rounder Blidi Wreh-Wilson has potential to start right now, and seventh rounder Daimion Stafford is a crazy person with big hitting skills. If they can calm him down in coverage he could be the rover for their nickel-blitz packages.

 

AFC West

Denver Broncos: D+

The Broncos pretty much filled all their pressing needs in free agency this offseason, so they had the luxury of drafting for depth. They took Sylvester Williams from North Carolina with the twenty eighth overall pick. Personally I’ve never been a big fan of Sylvester, but he does a good job filling gaps and stopping the run. Montee Ball has a lot of tread on his tires, but my biggest issue with him is can he catch the ball? He never really had to do it at Wisconsin, and in order to thrive with Manning you need to be able to catch outlet passes. Tavarres King out of Georgia was a great pick as he has freak like athleticism, and should be able to carve out a niche in the Denver offense. Getting Zac Dysert late was a steal. I hate to say I agree with Trent Dilfer, but he has starting potential and shows an ability to run which is at such a premium these days. A few years down he could beat out last year’s third rounder Brock Osweiler for the starting job in Denver.

Kansas City Chiefs: B-

The Chiefs had the first pick and decided against taking Luke Joeckel, instead going with upside and taking Eric Fisher. Fisher has immense talent and should be an immediate starter at one of the tackle spots, assuming they can get rid of Brandon Albert. He should be their blindside tackle by August and could be a quick Pro Bowl selection. Their second round pick was traded for Alex Smith, and that’s where this draft will really be decided. If he proves to be the accurate passer he was the past year and a half he should validate Andy Reid’s choice; if not they passed up on some good players who could change their franchise. Tight End Travis Kelce should be a stabilizing upgrade over the often injured Tony Mokeai. In addition, he also can run wildcat plays, as he was a former QB. Knile Davis was a reach, but if he can come back from the gruesome ankle injury and learn to hold on to the football, his physical measurables say he will be a star. Seventh rounder Mike Capatonao is a guy I had never heard of when he was picked on Saturday. After some research, I found this guy has the potential to be a good pass rusher a few years down the road. UDFA Toben Opurum was the lead rusher at Kansas his freshman year, then was switched to linebacker by Turner Gill. He has great athleticism and could earn some serious playing time if he continues to learn how to play defense.

 Oakland Raiders:  B

Oakland was a mess last year, Carson Palmer proved he is a shell of his former self and the Bengals continue to laugh at Raiders fans anguish. The Palmer deal, however, is a thing of the past and Oakland had a great draft. They needed everything so trading back and picking up a second round pick was huge for them. They got an extra pick and their guy in D.J. Hayden. Hayden has all the making of an elite corner and if his health doesn’t falter could be a day one upgrade over anything they had. Menelik Watson is the fastest linemen in modern NFL history, and he can be a starter from the first day. They took a  flyer on another athletic division two tackle a few years back in Jared “Manhulk” Veldheer, and he became a franchise left tackle. Investing in offensive linemen is always a good way to get better. Third rounder linebacker Sio Moore, and fourth round tight end Nick Kasa were each taken a round after the talent they poses. UDFA wide receiver Connor Vernon just feels like a guy who will find a way to get on the field early, a sort of an Ed McCaffrey type who isn’t flashy but catches the ball when it is thrown to him.

San Diego Chargers: B-

The Chargers are a team in rebuilding mode. They have what they perceive to be a franchise quarterback, but he has no protection and nobody to throw to anymore; so, the Chargers drafted the last of the top tackles and maybe reached a bit on a guy who will never play anywhere other than right tackle. Manti Te’o may not be an internet savvy guy, but he does have a nose for the football. He doesn’t cover particularly well, but he is more than capable of being an above-average run stopper. Depending on who you talk to the Chargers got the best overall receiver in the draft, or took a guy who can’t run in Keenan Allen. Once a top fifteen player, Allen run REALLY SLOW at the combine, but runs smooth routes and never has wasted motions in his game. Kwame Geathers is a steal for the 3-4 defense as an UDFA, and should be able to flourish with proper training and work. Finally don’t sleep on UDFA wide receiver Luke Tasker, son of the greatest special teams player who ever lived.

AFC East

Buffalo Bills: C

Alright, everybody get their laughter out of the way now, yes the Bills traded back to sixteen to get their quarterback and it wasn’t Geno Smith. Now that we got that out of the way, I have to say that while a reach, f you love a quarterback you go get him. And in return they picked up one of the best linebackers in Kiko Alonso, as well as getting the most under rated receiver in the draft in Robert Woods in the second. Meanwhile in the third they went with an Olympic-like athlete in Marquise Goodwin, who Texas just refused to let do anything productive during his time on the field. Late rounds didn’t show any splash picks but added some solid defensive back depth with guys like Duke Williams, and Jonathon Meeks. They also got Da’rick Rogers as a UDFA. Rodgers has first round talent but is still a question after getting kicked out of Tennessee, and underwhelming at Tenn Tech.

Miami Dolphins: C+

The Dolphins made a bold move, trading up to the third overall pick to take pass rusher Dion Jordan. In terms of value the cost of moving way up was pretty minimal, losing only a second rounder, if this pick hits they will have a fierce pass rushing combo with Cam Wake. Dallas Thomas can play immediately inside for this team and help with opening up holes of the running game. Jelani Jenkins may not be the fastest man on the planet, but he was a great player in the SEC, which means something and that he could be a steal as a good two down linebacker. Dion Sims is great versatile player who looks like he could be a starter in a few seasons at the tight end spot.

New England Patriots: D

Now I have a certain distain for Bill Belichek and Tom Brady, but I can say with all certainty that Patriots had a horrible draft. Maybe the Hoodie knows something I don’t, but over drafting players has rarely worked for anybody, just ask the Oakland Raiders. That being said, I do like Jamie Collins for them; he outplayed the entire C-USA conference last season on the worst team in college football and should be a stud for the next eight to ten years. After that pick things get hazy; Aaron Dobson, Logan Ryan, and Duron Harmon were projected to go much later than where they were taken. Once again, maybe I just don’t see it but trading out of your first pick with an aging quarterback, little depth the receiver, and Justin Hunter still on the board does not look good. They did get great value in Rutgers linebacker Steve Beauharnais in the seventh as he had a third round grade by most mock drafts. UDFA receiver T.J. Moe is a guy who looked like the next Wes Welker in 2011. His production slipped mightily afterwards, but he still has great hands and even has a little shake to his step.

New York Jets: C+

The Jets always seem to feel the need to outshine everyone else during the offseason. This time they did so trading the best corner in football for a first rounder and some change. They got jumped for Tavon Autin by the Rams and had read just their plans that gave them the best overall corner in the draft with Dee Milliner who should be plugged in right away. Then the Jets had plenty of options to take at thirteen and theyhey went with Sheldon Richardson, who not only was the third rated defensive tackle by most, but also doesn’t seem to fit the Rex Ryan style of defense. That’s three straight first round picks on defensive linemen for the Jets. They did get lucky and have the best quarterback in the draft Geno Smith fall right to them in the second, but who is he going to throw to? I love the Brian Winters pick, as he should shore up the guard spot that the Jets couldn’t get Matt Slauson/ Vlad Ducasse out of the past few years. Late they got Tommy Bohanon, a versatile fullback out of Wake Forrest; this guy should be a stud on special teams for them and could be a useful piece on offense as a possible short yard back.

About James Yax

21 Year old College Student, self proclaimed NFL Draft Expert/Dog Lover/42 Handicap Golfer

2013 NFL Draft Grades: NFC Edition

tyran

A physical conference for a physical player.

Now that the draft is over and our dreams are either dashed or filled with blind hope we can start to process how the choices made over the weekend look all put together. The grades that these teams get are not based on anything other than how they worked the draft ion terms of the value given to the player to where they got them. This doesn’t mean that classes with low grades can’t be good; it simply shows how they fared in terms of draft day value.

 NFC North

Arizona Cardinals: B

The hype around this class revolves around the Honey Badger, but he was only one of the interesting picks the Cards took. First round guard John Cooper should be the first piece in the next year or so the Cards use to build their offensive line, and he’s a good one. Getting a potential first round talent in Kevin Minter who has real SEC talent was a great steal for a team who just lost their Pro Bowl caliber MLB to a four game suspension. Then they took Tyrann Mathieu, which looks to be a good gamble considering his relationship with Minter and their All-Pro Corner Patrick Peterson. If his physical skills translate, hey have a great young core to build around on defense. The Cards need to hit on either Stephan Taylor or Andre Ellington at running back; both are good backs who went later than they should, and could improve the dreadful Arizona run game. D.C. Jefferson is a versatile tight end who is two years removed from playing quarterback, and could be a good complementary weapon to Rob Housler.

San Francisco 49ers: A

The Niners came into the draft with more picks than anyone else and were looking to move up and take an impact player early; they did just that by moving up to 19 and getting Eric Reid, who has the best instincts of any safety in the draft. Then they got the steal of the draft in Tank Carradine. Tank has top five talents barring any setbacks from his ACL tear. Vance McDonald is a guy I fell in love with early in this process and the Niners should have him on the field making plays on opening day, he has game breaking talent, famously running the jet sweep at Rice. He could end up taking Vernon Davis place if the Niners cut him after next year because of his high cap number. Corey Lemonier also looked like a high pick after his 2011 season, unfortunately everything at fell apart at Auburn last year, but Lemonier still looked like the best player on the field at times.  Quinton Patton out of Louisiana Tech has great hands and is tough going over the middle, and looks like an absolute steal where they got him. Then the Niners got fan-favorite Marcus Lattimore, who also has top fifteen talent before his gruesome knee injuries, and gets a red-shirt year behind Frank Gore. Hopefully after a redshirt year on the PUP he can be the game changer he was meant to.

Seattle Seahawks: C+

The Seahawks are a lot like the Niners; they just go get talent that fits their systems and coaches. Every year they seem to find a Pro Bowl player after round two and this year I think its defensive tackle Jesse Williams out of Alabama. The Australian born behemoth has brute like strength and a motor to match, he shows a real knack for blowing up double teams and eating up the running game. The reason he fell from a late first/early second is his knee. He hurt it in the SEC Title game and reports have surfaced that he may have some form of advanced arthritis in it. However, if it is healthy the Hawks just a got a first rounder in the fifth. Second Rounder Christine Michael and sixth rounder Spencer Ware are running backs from SEC schools and have been in the coach’s doghouse at some point, yet have all the talent in the world. Fourth round receiver Chris Harper managed to excel in the Kansas State spread option despite having a quarterback with a questionable throwing motion.

St. Louis Rams: A

A few years ago we all laughed at the NFC West for how bad it was, now every team seems to be drafting well and making good decisions. The Rams have actually done their part to keep up the fight the Niners and Seahawks. They made the splash move jumping up for the explosive Tavon Austin, and didn’t even give up the 1st RGIII pick. They then moved back and got stud Georgia linebacker Alec Ogletree, who  is a prototype for the new NFL linebacker with speed and power and if anybody can keep him on the right path its Jeff Fisher. TJ Mcdonald may not be as good right now as the other safeties in this draft, but he has the physical talent to rise up to be one of the better ones. He never really fit what Monte Kiffin wanted out of a safety and should thrive under Fishers tutelage. From the third round on is where the Rams made their draft special. Stedman Bailey, the other West Virginia receiver, is an under-rated guy who actually out produced Tavon Austin at times during their years in Morgantown and should see the field early on, as the Rams spread out their offensive pieces. Protecting the quarterback will be the brilliant Bama linemen Barrett Jones who can proudly say he is the only person to ever be an All-American at all offensive line positions and also a four time academic All-American. He has the brains to be better than his talent similar to Jeff Saturday. Running back Zac Stacey may actually end up starting day one, as he is physically more imposing than Isiah Pead and Daryl Richardson.

 NFC South

Atalanta Falcons:B-

The Falcons were a team that lost a lot in free agency, including their two starters at corner; this was clearly the big issue that Atlanta wanted to fix through the draft. They traded up for my favorite corner in the draft, Desomnd Trufant. He has all the talent in the world and shined on a terrible defense. They then proceeded to get Robert Alford in the second. He will be the starting nickel this season and learn from the great ball hawk Asante Samuel, who was picked up in a trade with the Eagles last year. In the fourth they got the other Stanford tight end Levine Toilolo to groom behind Tony Gonzalez. He could have risen if he had stayed at Stanford but decided to leave and got rewarded with learning from one of the greatest of all time. The steal of the class may be Zeke Motta; the Notre Dame safety is a very good player in the Jim Leonard mold. He is not the fastest but possesses a great football IQ and should be able to work his way into some playing time while staring on special teams. Their last pick was quarterback Sean Renfree who has plenty of good tape at perennially terrible Duke. His college coach was David Cuttcliff who coached both the Manning QB’s and said Renfree was reminiscent of their work ethics.

Carolina Panthers: C+

The Panthers had the least picks in the draft but made every one of them count. Issue one was shoring up their TERRIBLE run defense. To do this they took defensive tackles at one and two in the draft. This is something that has been tried a few times before to varying results. They got lucky that Star Lotolelei fell all the way to pick fourteen as he should be a monster in the middle, and at one point was thought of as a top three player before his heart scare. Then, the Panthers surprised everyone by taking Kawann Short from Purdue in the second. Short also has immense talent, but takes plays off and disappears at times. They also continued to add defense with Iowa State linebacker AJ Klein who is a tackling machine and while he may not be a day one starter, he should contribute at some point beyond special teams. The Panther’s once ballyhooed running backs have not done anything in two years and they should cut DeAngello Williams after this season, which is why they took a flyer on Kenjon Barner who may be a stud who has speed to burn, or may be the product of the Oregon offensive machine. UDFA safety Robert Lester was a starter on two national title teams and deserved to be drafted. He makes plays all over the field and could be a spot starter on a Panthers team without much depth at safety.

New Orleans Saints: C+

It’s a new day after the lost 2012 season. The Saints get their coaching staff back after losing their head coach and play caller Sean Payton last year to Goodell Castro’s iron hand. They also made big changes on defense by hiring Rob Ryan to remake the way the team plays switching to the 3-4. They got the guy most had as their top safety in Kenny Vaccaro, who can play any D-back position and should contribute immediately. This down however raise some questions about what happens to former pro bowlers Roman Harper and Malcolm Jenkins now. Terron Armstead should be a plug-in guy as Drew Brees affords linemen the ability to be worse than they look; he is very raw but has great athleticism. They took the new defense centerpiece in Big John Jenkins, the massive nose tackle from Georgia who could be the next Mount Cody and anchor their attack for years assuming he doesn’t eat his way back to four hundred pounds. Fourth rounder Kenny Stills is a legit Lance Moore replacement who doesn’t have a high ceiling, but can get on the field right away. The UDFA’s the Saints got may be the real key though to this class. Stanford pass rusher Chase Thomas should be a Jarrett Johnson-like player who plays much better than he tests. Nebraska rusher Eric Martin is a crazy person and may end up being the next James Harrison. Kevin Riddick should have been a third round pick and may end up starting by the seasons half way point.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: C-

The Buccaneers 2013 draft is never going to be a about the player they took on Thursday through Saturday, it’s about Darrelle Revis, and if his knee allows him to be the player he used to be. If he goes back to being Revis Island than the Bucs hit this one out of the ball park. If not then the front office will be set back for a year or two with all the talent they left on the board getting him, not to mention the money they paid him. Jonathon Banks looked like a first rounder until he ran an abysmal 4.6 forty at the combine. He’s a crafty veteran of the SEC and has successfully covered the likes of Justin Hunter, AJ Green, and other top receivers. Drafting Mike Glennon should piss Josh Freeman off and hopefully, motivate him. Glennon has shaky tape in the bad ACC, but has great size and a cannon arm. William Gholston has Margus Hunt like size, but never lived up to his five-star hype and never became the pass rush threat he was supposed to be, but was a good run stopper who could play early with the lack of depth at end. Akeem Spence was another guy who has tremendous upside but just doesn’t seem to have the “it” factor. Maybe he gets motivated and becomes a good player, if not he’s a washout guy.

NFC East

Dallas Cowboys: C

The Dallas Cowboys had a very peculiar draft. They had a mid-round pick and traded it for almost nothing to the 49ers, this despite needing a complete defensive make over. They are scrapping the 3-4 defense they have run since the early 00’s and changing to the cover 2 run by Monte Kiffin. The Cowboys really needed to upgrade at linebacker and defensive line and they made a surprising pick at thirty with Wisconsin interior offensive lineman Travis Fredrick, who was mocked mostly as a late second-early third selectoin. This leads me to believe they wanted one of the linemen that went off the board earlier such as Johnathan Cooper. The Fredrick pick was a reach but it’s the reports of the dysfunction in the War Room that worries me for the Boys’.  That being said they had a solid second day which gave them San Diego State tight end Gavin Escobar who should be groomed as a replacement for Jason Witten. Escobar was highly rated until his bad workouts. In the third, they grabbed Terrence Williams who is a taller receiver who should make his living jumping over defensive backs running through safeties. The question is how fast his game will translate to the pros as he is not a good route runner at this point. Corner B.W. Webb is the next in a long line of William & Mary corners to make the pros and if he’s anywhere near as good he will provide excellent depth at corner. Joseph Randle was the steal of the draft for the Cowboys. Randle made huge plays in the Oklahoma State spread, and should be the third down back right away, and he scored a boat load of touchdowns and has the all-around game that could lead him to NFL production.

New York Giants: C+

Is there any team who underwhelms more on draft day, and yet puts a great product on the field than Giants GM Jerry Reece? He finds great players where others see potential busts, as is evident by his first three picks this year. The first pick was Syracuse linemen Justin Pugh who has versatility written all over him. He was an All-Big East tackle last year in Doug Marrone’s pro-style offense, and looks like a great franchise left tackle. His slip seems to have happened due to his short arms which measured at 33 inches. Personnel guys around the league who go by physical charts will hate this kid because of his arms, but he can play with the best of them. In the second round, the Giants took first round talent Jonathan Hankins, the guy looks like the second coming of Shaun Rogers, who coincidentally is on the Giant’s roster. His stats don’t show what he brings to the table and he is a disruptive player who could be a real factor. Damontre Moore is a guy who did nothing in college but put up great numbers, then tested like a high school kid if they can squeeze out all his talent and add technique ,he has great upside as a situational pass rusher with a great motor. The most interesting pick was Syracuse quarterback Ryan Nassib, who had some scouts fully on his side. Worst comes to worst, he will be a serviceable back up.

Philidelphia Eagles: B-

Nobody knew what Chip Kelly was going to do come draft day. Some thought he would go with a pass rusher, others thought offensive line, and some even believed Geno Smith at four. In the end, the Eagles made the smart move of taking Lane Johnson who should bring stability to the line if Jason Peters can’t return to pre-injury form. Johnson has the athleticism to play the up-tempo style of whatever Kelly wants to do next year. Second round, the Eagles went with the tight end that killed Kelly’s national title dreams last year with Zach Ertz. Ertz’ ability had some pegging him as the best tight end in the draft; with the Eagles he should play a key role in Kelly’s offensive strategies the next few years. Bennie Logan is an effort guy who should help at the five tech in the new 3-4, and could develop into a nice player, and that’s where things got interesting for the Eagles. The start of day three had the Eagles taking USC quarterback Matt Barkley, who many deemed unable to run the Kelly scheme. This shows that Kelly isn’t bringing the spread-option directly to the pros; Barkley is a smart, intelligent leader who has better movement skills than he is given credit for. He may not have the arm to drop deeps balls, but he could develop into a solid NFL passer.  Seventh round corner Jordan Poyer was thought to be a third round talent and has a nose for getting the football while fellow seventh rounder Joe Kruger has some good NFL bloodlines.

Washington Redskins: B

The Redskins draft has to be taken with a grain of salt; to truly gauge the class you must include Robert Griffin in the discussion. If he comes back from the knee troubles then the Skin’s clearly won the 2012 and 2013 draft. Without their 1st round pick they had to go big in the second round and they did with NC State corner David Amerson who entered the 2012 season as the top corner, however he succumbs to DeAngello Hall syndrome and gets beat a lot despite making a ton of splash plays. You can’t ignore his size and speed as well as ball hawking abilities, and yet he gets burned more than he should. The choice of Florida tight end and part time quarterback Jordan Reed is a great one as he should continue to develop and actually play a majority of the snaps. Chris Thompson should be a good return man and change of pace back (who is a favorite of my boss and Coleman Kelly), while sixth rounder Baccari Rambo was a victim of the talent around him and deep draft, getting taken well below his talent level. Fifth round pass rusher Brandon Jenkins was the guy who replaced Tank Carradine and played admirably. He should be a guy that gets some situational looks behind the stellar Orakpo/Kerrigan duo. Watch out for UDFA linebacker Will Compton from Nebraska; he isn’t the fastest or the biggest, but he is always around the ball in the run game.

NFC North

Chicago Bears: C+

The Bears  firing of Lovie Smith after another winning seasons lead to the hiring of Canadian football wizard Marc Trestman. While I doubt they will only play three offensive downs, the regime change should allow Jay Cutler in all his grumpy glory to shine. After years of neglecting the offensive line, the Bears drafted Kyle Long at 20 with Tyler Eifert on the board. Some think that Long could eventually end up playing left tackle with other think he is a guard at best. Clearly, the Bears love his athletic ability and should give him every chance to play left tackle. Second rounder Jon Bostic is a huge pickup with the release of Brian Urlacher and he should roam the middle of the Midway for years to come. Khaseeme Greene was undervalued guy and could also start right away opposite Lance Briggs and recreate the linebacking core for Chicago. Sixth rounder Corn Washington has all the tools of a great rush man, yet has very little technique. Marquess Wilson, the record breaking wide out from Washington State, could have been a first round pick if not for a squabble with college coach Mike Leach. If it was a onetime incident then the Bears got a huge steal with this guy and he could play good for years to come.

Detroit Lions: C

The Lions took a huge step backwards last season and it mostly had to do with two things: no pass rush and only having one guy for Matt Stafford to throw the ball to. The Lions need to cure one of those aliments in this draft and they may have done so with fifth overall pick Ziggy Ansah from BYU. The Ghana-born end has only played one real season of football in his life, yet already flashes good football IQ. His freakish athleticism should allow him to make plays while still learning the nuances of the game. Second rounder Darius Slay is a corner with loads of experience in the SEC and third round guy Larry Warford is a mauling guard out of Kentucky who could be a starter for years. I loved their pick of Theo Riddick in the sixth round as his pass catching and rushing abilities means he could replace an injury prone Reggie Bush. At the very least, he should be able to contribute as a return man this year. They also made the gutsy move of signing UDFA quarterback John Laub, the cousin of Matt Millen, AKA the most hated man in Detroit.

Green Bay Packers: C+

The Packer need to find a good running back to help Aaron Rogers. Finally the packer delivered with two outstanding backs in second rounder Eddie Lacy, who fell due to injury concerns, and fourth round guy John Franklin who doesn’t do anything great but a lot of things well. Their first rounder was a Ted Thompson guy if ever there were one; Datone Jones out of UCLA is a player who should play the five tech on downs one and two and then slide inside in third down packages. Forth rounder David Bakhtiari has tough name, and plays even harder despite being on the worst BCS conference team the past few years. This lead him to going under the radar until late in the draft process. He could have left tackle potential, though its likely he starts on the right side. UDFA tight end Jake Stoneburner from Ohio State never realized his potential in college, despite having played well for Urban Meyer last year. If Mike McCarthy can get him playing up to his talent than the Packers will have effectively replaced Tom Crabtree and given Jermicheal Finley and D.J Williams someone to compete with.

Minesota Vikings: B-

The Vikings went balls to the wall and traded up to have THREE first round selections.  They got really lucky and snagged the plummeting Shariff Floyd, who many had going third overall, at twenty three. Then with the Percy Harvin pick, took giant Florida State corner Xavier Rhodes to help replace Antoine Winfield. If that wasn’t enough, they traded back up to get Percy Harvin’s replacement in Hutchinson Community College alum Coradrrale Patterson, who has boatloads of talent though questionable decision making in his pre-draft attire. If the Vikes hit on two of these 3 guys ,they may have a contending team for the next few years. If they hit on all three then they should be in the NFC title game within two years. Seventh round guy Mike Mauti was the emotional leader of the Penn State defense and may be the next starter at middle linebacker for the Vikings while sixth round guard Jeff Bacca has nice potential. The Vikes grabbed two UDFA’s I love in Ohio State pass rusher Nathan Williams, who is still trying to comeback from a devastating knee injury, and SMU running back Zach Kline who could be Toby Gerhart’s replacement after next season. Its also worth mentioning that Chris Carters son Duron was invited to camp, though he was never able to find his way in college and there are questions about his work ethic. That being said his father had well documented troubles early in life and went on to a hall of fame career.

About James Yax

21 Year old College Student, self proclaimed NFL Draft Expert/Dog Lover/42 Handicap Golfer

Sports Wunderkind Podcast: NFL Draft Grades Part 1

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The NFL draft is finally behind. Davis Mattek and Coleman Kelly break down draft grades for half of the league in the first part of their 2013 NFL Draft grades. The best NFL draft podcast grades out!

Sports Wunderkind NFL Draft Grades Part 1

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About Davis Mattek

20 Year old student of English at Kansas State University. Writer for Sports Wunderkind, The Fake Football and Hockey, and various other media outlets. Fan of the Cowboys, Thunder, Avalanche and Royals

Rapid Reaction: Stedman Bailey, WR, St. Louis Rams

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Being a Patriots fan is hard. You see one of your favorite wide receivers in the draft falling and falling, just praying that maybe they make at least one of your wishes come true. Then they take Aaron Dobson. Such is life.

The Rams, Seahawks, 49ers, and Cardinals are in a fascinating arms race that is rapidly spirally out of control, much to delight of football fans everywhere. The Rams reunite the West Virginia waterbugs Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin to along with newly signed tight end Jared Cook. My initial reaction was “Whoa, another wide receiver?” Last year, the Rams grabbed Brian Quick in the 2nd round and Chris Givens in the 4th round. Are there going to be enough targets to go around? Is Bailey even going to start on the Rams? My guess: yes. Bailey was a better wide receiver in college than either Quick or Givens. Givens flashed last year as a deep threat, but isn’t really the complete wide receiver that Bailey is. The former Wake Forest Demon had up and down production due to his reliance on the deep ball.

Thanks to the ever awesome rotoviz.com, we can compare all 4 Rams wide receivers based on their college yards per target:

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They all have similar yard per target numbers. No surprise that Austin’s in lower, given his usage at West Virginia. What if we take a look at red zone touchdown rate?

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Stedman Bailey is shockingly better than all of them. He converted almost 60% of his redzone targets into touchdowns. Sixty percent! I guess that’s why they call him Studman… Quick’s low percentage is surprising, given that he has 5″ and and 20+ pounds on the next biggest receiver. My professional opinion is that Bailey’s arrival signals the end of the Chris Givens Era, however short it was. Quick was a high 2nd round pick last year, and I highly doubt they throw in the towel on him that quickly. He still has that prototypical NFL wide receiver size the other 3 receivers lack.

Bailey probably shouldn’t be on your fantasy radar for the 2013 season. I’ll be monitoring the training camp reports trying to figure out how that depth chart will shake out. In dynasty, I think his landing spot will give savvy owners great value in the 2nd round.

About Coleman Kelly

21 year old Network Administration major from Central Connecticut. Football fanatic and New England Patriots fan. Lover of cats.